May 26, 2011

10 Through 1: Ranking The Last 10 No. 1 NBA Draft Picks

10.) Kwame Brown, 2001 Draft: It's never a good sign when the three subheadings listed under the "Personal" section of your Wikipedia page read as follows: "Rape accusation," "2007 arrest" and "Cake incident." What is "Cake incident," you ask? In January 2007, Brown grabbed away a two-foot chocolate cake from a man and threw it back at him. You know, because that's what athletes in charge of saving a franchise are supposed to do. Brown has bounced around the league, playing for five teams in his career, and is still somehow in the NBA.

9.) Greg Oden, 2007 Draft: It's never a good thing when you spend more time snapping pictures of your dong than you do actually being on the court, but that's been the problem for Oden. Looking back, it's easy to second guess Portland's choice of opting for Oden over Kevin Durant, but Oden was the consensus No. 1 pick throughout the year and cemented his status with a dominanting performance in the '07 national title game (25 points, 12 rebounds and 4 blocks). But at this point, any NBA general manager has to wonder how effective someone who has played 82 total games in four years (average of 22 minutes in those games) can be.


8.) Andrea Bargnani, 2006 Draft: Who plays better defense: Andrea Bargnani, or the chair Yi Jianlian practiced against in his workouts leading up to the 2007 NBA Draft. You probably said Bargnani, but the fact that you had to think about the answer is a bit terrifying. In addition to his seemingly complete unawareness at times on the defensive end, Bargnani needs to stop playing soft and rebound much better. Averaging more than 30 minutes per game for his career, simply by existing on the court a seven-footer should average more than five rebounds. A lethal offensive player without a strong defensive game, Bargnani's value lies in fantasy sports and video games.

7.) Andrew Bogut, 2005 Draft: I spent way too much time deciding on how to rank these next three, but I went with Bogut at this spot and here's why: Flashback to the 2005 NBA Draft, and you could tell from his time at Utah that Bogut would be a solid NBA player. And he has. But you knew there was the very real potential that Chris Paul could be a superstar. (Six years later, and I still regret not faxing my resume to the Atlanta front office after they passed on Paul to take Marvin Williams). And you had a strong hunch Deron Williams could be a superstar as well. With that, Bogut's production ranks him at the No. 7 spot.

6.) Yao Ming, 2002 Draft. It's always hard to come into a new team as the No. 1 pick and with the expectations of a city and a fanbase riding on your shoulders. It's 10 times harder when you don't speak English, don't have an aggressive personality and are trying to fit in with your teammates. I always wondered how Yao and Steve Francis hung out in those first few days together, but the center developed into a very good player who has never averaged less than 10 PPG in his seven years in the league (not counting this year). With his career in jeopardy the future looks bleak for Yao, but remember how good he was at his peak (2005-2008) when he averaged 23.1 PPG and 10.2 RPG. And if that's not enough, he had this!


5.) John Wall, 2010 Draft: Aside from joining a team that was completely awful, Wall was faced with the common task of replacing a former all-star point guard who drew a gun on his teammate during a locker room dispute. The rapture will most likely come before the Wizards are relevant again, but Wall would have won Rookie of the Year if not for the next person on the list. He should be a poor man's Derrick Rose, with a ceiling maybe a little bit higher, and he really is the only reason why I attended three Wizards games this past season. As crazy as it sounds, I didn't go to the Verizon Center because of Yi.


4.) Blake Griffin, 2009 Draft: 1.) Winning the War of Independence in 1783. 2.) The creation of the Internet. 3.) The first landing on the Moon. 4.) Blake Griffin making the Clippers relevant. That's my list for the most impressive feats in US history. Before Griffin, the Clippers were bad and there was no reason to watch them. With him, they're fun to watch, and there's an 80 percent chance each game of a "Blake Moment" that just makes you say Wow. His game will need to be more refined as his career goes on, and he'll always top the list of players you have to see in person at least once. Now, if only the Clippers hadn't traded an unprotected first round pick to Cleveland this offseason....

3.) Dwight Howard, 2004 Draft: If you knew absolutely nothing about basketball, but happened to turn on a game one night, you'd think Howard would be the most dominant player on the floor. Easily. But at the end of games, it's impossible to feed him because his offensive repertoire is so limited. When I had read that Howard had been working with Hakeem Olajuwon this offseason, I had hope. Maybe it was me wanting Howard to become as dominant as he should be, and not believing it wasn't possible, but I had hope. There's always that feeling there should be more with the three-time Defensive Player of the Year, which puts him in contention as the league's most frustrating player to watch.

2.) Derrick Rose, 2008 Draft: The moment I knew came during the 2008 Final Four. Rose finished with 25 points and nine rebounds against UCLA, making 11 of 12 free throws on the night. If only he had made those in the championship game two nights later. (Still bitter). But just seeing the stat line doesn't do that performance justice. It was the plethora of show-stopping moves and stutter-steps, to go along with his speed, that allowed him to put his fingerprints all over that Final Four. You knew he was ready. On a side note, I always think it's funny how the time period between the last college game and the NBA Draft allows scouts ample time to pick apart these prospects, like when some had convinced themselves that Michael Beasley would be better than Rose.

1.) LeBron James, 2003 Draft: It doesn't exactly take Watson The Computer to figure out who will top this list. The best player in the league, on a team that is one win away from reaching the NBA Finals. I remember watching James' high school games when I was in middle school, and the hype surrounding him was like nothing I had seen before. Obviously, he was what everyone made him out to be. The most obvious No. 1 pick of the past ten years has been the best, and what I'm interested in is where James ranks in the pantheon of all-time NBA greats when his Heat contract runs out.






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May 6, 2011

NBA Playoff Thoughts

  • If you see someone storming the court in Boston on Saturday trying to take a steel pipe to the knees of Nenad Kristic and/or Jeff Green, there's a 90 percent chance it's my Dad. And no one in the Boston crowd would try to stop him. In fact, they would encourage it! 
  • How can you dismantle a starting five that had not lost a playoff series together when healthy? A healthy Perkins in Game 7 could have won last year's Lakers series, and Perkins in this series puts a frontline of Perk/Garnett against Bosh/Ilgauskas/Joel Anthony 
  • Is there anything more awkward than LeBron going against Delonte West in this series? I'd be fascinated to learn if West is using the endless trash talk possibilities (which I can't print here) to his advantage. 
  • Somehow, Joel Anthony played 39 minutes in Miami's series-clinching victory against Philadelphia without taking a single shot. I know this happened in the first round, but I felt something needed to be said for that.
  • How the %*#@%& is Juwan Howard still on an NBA roster?
  • The Dallas-Los Angeles series feels like a referendum on Dirk Nowitzki's career. In 2006, Dallas  got over the hump by beating San Antonio on their way to the NBA Finals where they got screwed by the referees lost to Miami in six. Now, in 2011 and with the window of opportunity beginning to close, the Mavs have another one of those opportunities. This time, they're up 2-0 against the two-time defending chamipons as the series shifts to Dallas. The Mavericks need to get it done, and Dirk has to lead the charge like in the first two games. No excuses, get it done.
  • Speaking of those 2006 NBA Finals, it was almost as if the NBA was playing with Mark Cuban when it assigned Bennett Salvatore to ref Game 2 at Staples. If you remember, Salvatore was part of the officiating crew that officiated this game. 25 free throw attempts for Wade (to match Dallas' total) and 49 attempts for the Heat? Egads!
  • Bigger upset: The US defeating the Soviets in the 1980 Winter Olympics, or Ron Artest winning the citizenship award?
  • Barea proved to be Goran Dragic 2.0 in Wednesday's Game 2, but he was much more impactful in that second half spurt than Dragic was during the Suns-Lakers series last year.
  • There's bad, there's really bad, there's God-awful and then there's Steve Blake's Game 2 performance.
  • If the Mavericks lose this series and there is a controversial call in Game 5, 6 or 7, Mark Cuban may receive the biggest fine in NBA history for sure-to-come postgame comments.
  • The Lakers collapsed in Game 1 and played terribly in Game 2, but if Kobe's 3-point attempt in Game 1 (which was absolutely dead on) goes down, there's a completely different feel to this series.
  • If gambling were legal and you believe in the whole "heart of a champion" thing, there are some interesting lines on the Boston-Miami and Dallas-L.A. series. Boston is +425 to win the series, the Lakers are +210 and L.A. is +260 to win the West. Not saying I would do those, just interesting to point out.
  • My prediction: Boston wins its two home games and sets up a Game 5 in Miami with the series knotted at 2-2. Los Angeles wins two of the next three, to set up a Game 6 for the series at American Airlines Center. If that happens, imagine the pressure in that building on that night in Dallas. There's no chance the Mavericks win a Game 7 on the road, and I think this series gets decided then in front of a tense Dallas crowd.
  • Is there a more random starter on a team that finished atop its conference than Keith Bogans?
  • I love when Chicago runs the "OK everyone, let's clear the heck out of the way for Derrick Rose" offense. One of my favorite offenses in the league.
  • The only problem Rose gets into (obviously) is when he falls in love with the 3-point shot. He's improved from beyond the arc, but 15 threes in the first two games is too much.
  • Wait, what's that? You want to know if I'm still bitter about Rose missing those free throws at the end of the 2008 NCAA Championship Game? Of course I am!
  • Does anyone outside of Atlanta think the Hawks have a chance of winning this series? Furthermore, does anyone in Atlanta think the Hawks have a chance of winning this series?
  • When you're being paid $119 million, you have to be the unquestioned star of your team, even if you're not worth that much. I can't say enough about Joe Johnson's performance in Game 1 (12-18 FG, 5-5 3PT, 34 PTS). That's how players being paid that much are supposed to perform on the road, in the second round of the playoffs. But then he goes and puts up a very quiet 16 points in a Game 2 loss. Barkley made a great point on "Inside the NBA" when he said he wished it was Joe Johnson's game mixed with Jamal Crawford's mindset.
  • Speaking of Crawford, you always know something's going to happen when he has the ball in his hands. It could be horrifying, crazy, extraordinary or all of the above, but something is going to happen.
  • Remember when Marvin Williams was the No. 2 pick in the NBA Draft? You know, ahead of guys like Deron Williams and Chris Paul?
  • Atlanta had everything go right in Game 1 (hitting all of their jumpers), but that won't last over a seven-game series, and Chicago is a lock for the Eastern Conference Finals.
  • Last thing, nobody likes playing the "what if?" game more than me, but imagine how much the landscape of the league changes if Chicago doesn't hit its 1.7 percent chance of landing the No. 1 pick in the 2008 NBA Draft lottery and that pick goes to Miami (the team who finished '08 with the league's worst record).
  • I thought the apocalypse would come before I typed the words, "Zach Randolph leads team in playoffs."Putting aside Monday's Game 2, he has been money throughout this postseason, which I should have realized when I knew San Antonio had absolutely no one to guard him.
  • Randolph and Gasol have owned the glass this playoffs, and Gasol has developed the always important foul-line jumper, which can be a big help to a team's offense.
  • Sam Presti has built the Thunder into a big-time team by making sound moves throughout his tenure. He prepared for the Lakers' big men by having four guys he can throw at them (Ibaka/Perkins/Collison/Harden). In the 2009 Draft, he took Harden (because he fit the team much better) than Tyreke Evans.
  • While the better storylines are in Boston-Miami and Dallas-L.A., this series should be the most fun to watch. 
  • Last thing, shout-out to Gary Neal, whose Game 5 3-pointer prevented me from losing my life savings.































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