NFL Picks Against the Spread: Super Bowl

Season: 134-124-8          Last Week: 2-0          Playoffs: 8-2

Rather than write a long Super Bowl post complete with picks on all the prop bets (as I had planned), I'm mailing in this blog post like the Tampa Bay Bucs mailed in the end of their season. (Fittingly, a lame joke to mark the final NFL Picks post of the season).

New York Giants (+3) vs. New England Patriots

Because sometime between your 73rd and 77th nacho tonight, you'll remember that the rule in toss-up games, always, is to take the points.

Nothing is more important than a correct Super Bowl pick to build momentum for March Madness. So with that said:

Go Giants. Go Football. Go Food. Go Prop Bets. Go Sports.

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Conference Championships

Season: 132-124-8          Last Week: 2-2          Playoffs: 6-2

Baltimore (+7.5) at New England

Because this spread is an overreaction line following New England's dominance of Denver and Baltimore's lackluster effort at home against Houston.

Because Joe Flacco can't look as poor as he did against the Houston defense against the New England defense.

Because this pick was made with me remembering Flacco's game-winning drive at Pittsburgh and not the performance he mailed in during the Sunday night game in San Diego.

Because of Ray Rice.

Because Baltimore doesn't believe it can keep it close, it believes it can actually win the game.

Because I picked them in a playoff pool, and would be forced to root for them no matter what, so I might as well pick them here.

Because of Ray Rice.

Because if the Jets won last year, why can't the Ravens keep it within a touchdown this year?

New York Giants (+2.5) at San Francisco

Because it's a bad sign that despite forcing five turnovers, San Francisco was trailing with 45 seconds left.

Because I want the already played out "Is Eli Elite?" storyline to continue for another three weeks.

Because if the Patriots win earlier in the day, the Giants will win. It has to happen.

Because it's scary to look at the stat line from San Francisco's wide receivers last week.

Because, hopefully, this game won't need to come down to a Lawrence Tynes vs David Akers battle.

Because the Giants have the better playmakers, and are riding the same wave they rode to Super Bowl 42.

Enjoy the games.

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Divisional Round

Season: 130-122-8          Last Week: 4-0

New Orleans at San Francisco (+3.5) 

While God will be focused on the game in New England later in the night, this could turn out to be the best matchup of the weekend.

If this game were in New Orleans, the 49ers wouldn't have a chance. At all.

But with it being in San Francisco, outdoors and on grass, I don't know who will win. But it will be close.

Denver (+13.5) at New England

I see the Broncos keeping it within two touchdowns as Tim Tebow threatens to single-handedly crash Twitter between the hours of 8 and 11 p.m. Saturday.

Also, if you took the odds-on favorite in my "Tim Tebow's first pass" prop bet last week, you would have cashed. (Cashed easily, I might add). Did you see how off target that throw was!?!?

Houston at Baltimore (-7.5)

Giving more than a touchdown with Joe Flacco is always tough, especially in the playoffs.

But if you do take the Texans, imagine how you'll be feeling around 2:30 p.m. Sunday, when Houston is down 13-0 on the road and T.J. Yates has completed five passes while throwing two interceptions at halftime.

New York Giants (+7.5) at Green Bay

The Giants return to Lambeau for the first time since knocking off the Packers in the 2007 playoffs for what will be a fun way to wrap up the divisional weekend.

(I know, I know. They played there last season. But now's not the time to bring that debacle up. Positive thoughts!)

And I'd also like to use this space to be the first person to let you know that this Giants team brings back memories of the team that won Super Bowl 42.

Enjoy the games.