September 20, 2012

NFL Week 3 Picks Against the Spread

Season: 17-16          Last Week: 8-8          This Week: 0-1

New York Giants at Carolina (+1.5)

For the simple fact that I am going against my team, I deserve to drop to 0-3 on Thursday night games.

Full picks will be posted prior to kickoff on Sunday.

Buffalo at Cleveland (+3.5)

It was either Buffalo on the road, or Brandon Weeden returning home after posting a passer rating of 5.1 in Week 1. Buffalo: 3 Cleveland: 0

Kansas City (+9.5) at New Orleans

In a battle to see which team can hit rock bottom first, the Chiefs should be able to stay within 10 of the Saints in New Orleans.

Cincinnati (+4.5) at Washington

With Raheem Morris the defensive backs coach in Washington, I'm being conservative when I say I'm expecting no less than an 8-125-2 performance from A.J. Green. And nothing good can come from the fact that Morris was calling the defense in the 4th quarter last week in St. Louis.

Jacksonville (+2.5) at Indianapolis

My goodness. And we get to see these two square off once again (on Thursday Night Football, no less) come Week 10.

Tampa Bay (+7.5) at Dallas

Tampa Bay has now covered two straight spreads, and no reason to jump off them now when they're getting more than a touchdown at Dallas.

San Francisco (-7.5) at Minnesota

It's always great on a Sunday when FOX doesn't have sound and NBC has no signal, as was the case last week for me, causing me to miss just how good the 49ers looked against Detroit.

Detroit at Tennessee (+3.5)

While Tennessee has struggled to resemble a competent football team, it's also hard to be confident in the Lions after they narrowly beat the Rams and were manhandled (or so I'm told) in San Francisco last Sunday night.

New York Jets (-3.5) at Miami
St. Louis at Chicago (-8.5)

Went back and forth on these games before realizing 1) Who will Ryan Tannehill be completing passes to? and 2) Who will Jay Cutler not be completing passes to against the Rams secondary?

Philadelphia at Arizona (+4.5)

At this pace, Michael Vick is projected for the highly realistic possibility of throwing 48 interceptions while leading his team to a 16-0 record.

Houston at Denver (-.5)

Surprised this is essentially a pick, especially with Houston having played no one (Miami, at Jacksonville) and Denver having two tough games to start (Pittsburgh, at Atlanta).

Pittsburgh (-4.5) at Oakland

Carson Palmer. Against the Steelers defense. Let the hilariously bad play ensue! 

Atlanta at San Diego (-3.5)

Are we ready to live in a world where Norv Turner and the Chargers are 3-0 at the end of September? Yes! Yes we are!

New England (+3.5) at Baltimore

For the same reason I should have picked the Giants on Thursday: Whenever anyone counts out the Pats, they play their best. (And because the 3.5 points doesn't hurt either, of course).

Green Bay (-3.5) at Seattle

The Aaron Rodgers-Matt Flynn matchup didn't quite materialize, but a very intriguing way to end Week 3 action.


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