October 18, 2012

NFL Week 7 Picks Against the Spread

Season: 46-46          Last Week: 5-9          This Week: 0-1

Seattle at San Francisco (-7.5)

Going 11-17 over the past two weeks isn't the best way to begin October, especially after such a strong start to the season. I blame A-Rod.

For tonight I'm backing San Francisco at home, thanks to the following stat from our A+ research team here at the blog: With Jim Harbaugh as coach, the 49ers have allowed 11 points combined in four games following a loss.

Carolina at Dallas (-2.5)

With 26 seconds left and one timeout remaining, Tony Romo completed a one-yard pass to Dez Bryant to the Ravens 33. The clock ticked down to six seconds, before Dallas used its final timeout and Dan Bailey missed the game-winning field goal from 50+ yards out. Now that, that is just great clock management.

Cleveland (+3.5) at Indianapolis

Despite defeating the Bengals and picking up a win for the first time since November 2011, Cleveland's victory was immediately overshadowed by news of this guy last week.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+3.5)

With interim coach Joe Vitt taking over the Saints in Week 8, let's appreciate the chance to pick against interim interim coach Aaron Kromer one more time.

Washington (+6.5) at New York Giants

I'm surprised this line is almost a touchdown even though everyone knows 1) The Giants play better on the road than at home and 2) Washington is 3-0 ATS in its last three against New York.

Baltimore (+6.5) at Houston

Being on the wrong end of both the largest deficit overcome in Monday Night Football and Thursday's situation in San Francisco is just too much for one blogger to take in a 72-hour span. Hopefully John Harbuagh atones for his brother's wrongs by staying within six points in Houston.

Green Bay (-5.5) at St. Louis

The critics have come out in full force after I officially dropped to .500 on the year, and after hopefully a strong performance this week, I'll have the following message for them when sitting down for my weekly interview with Michele Tafoya:

Arizona at Minnesota (-6.5)
Tennessee at Buffalo (-3.5)

Two picks that are more against the away team than they are for the home team, and two games that, with six teams on bye, have a lot of implications on whether I win or lose Week 7 in fantasy football.

New York Jets at New England (-10.5)

An angry Tom Brady and Bill Belichick returning home after blowing a 13-point 4th quarter lead in Seattle? Thankfully, this is the Jets problem to deal with and not mine.

Jacksonville (+4.5) at Oakland

After getting blown out in both weeks prior to their bye and with another blowout looming in Week 8 (at Green Bay), this is Jacksonville's best chance at keeping up its pace of one win a month.

Pittsburgh (-2.5) at Cincinnati

After making the playoffs last year, Marvin Lewis and the Bengals are on track for two straight average or below-average seasons, before Lewis saves his job with an unexpected playoff berth in 2014; a script we've seen play out before in Cincy.

Detroit at Chicago (-5.5)

Losing out on the Hail Mary in Seattle earlier this year and then with the comeback in San Diego last week, I'm pretty sure I'm due for a Charles Tillman interception Monday to stop Detroit's backdoor cover attempt you know is coming.

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