All lines courtesy of the New York Post
New Orleans at Carolina (+6.5)
Cam Newton has been electric to start his career, which has translated to some amazing backdoor covers, of course. In Week 2 his touchdown run cut the Green Bay lead to 30-23, and he topped himself last week with a touchdown pass with four seconds left (four seconds!) to make it 34-29 Chicago. I see another "meaningless touchdown" on the horizon.
Cincinnati (+2) at Jacksonville
Prior to this season, you would think picking the Bengals against the spread each week would be grounds to have my brain tested. But Cincy has covered each week except Week 3 (13-8 home loss to San Francisco), so I'll continue to roll with them.
Oakland (+6) at Houston
Andre Johnson gets hurt during the Pittsburgh game. Houston coming off a win in a type of game they haven't seem to have won in franchise history. Al Davis passing away Saturday. The stars are aligning for an Oakland cover.
Arizona at Minnesota (-3)
I improved to 3-1 last week in fantasy, as the Colts secondary (thank God) prevented Mike Williams from going off and the Tampa Bay defense did just enough for me to clinch the victory. Now the problem is I have Brandon Marshall and Daniel Thomas on a team quarterbacked by some combination of Sage Rosenfels and Matt Moore.
Kansas City (+2.5) at Indianapolis
After last week's second straight primetime game for the Colts, I checked the schedule hoping (praying?) this would be the last time we get them on national TV. It's not. Indianapolis will travel to New Orleans for the Week 7 Sunday night game. (And in case you were wondering, the Chiefs make two appearances on Monday night in the coming weeks; Week 8 and Week 10).
Philadelphia (-3) at Buffalo
One of these weeks, the Eagles have to fire on all cylinders and put together a good game, right? Right?
Tennessee at Pittsburgh (-3)
I was all set to pounce on Tennessee once the spreads came out and I saw the Titans open as 6.5 point underdogs. Then the spread dropped as the week went on, all the way down to its current number at three, which is too low to take a Kenny Britt-less Titans team.
Seattle at New York Giants (-10)
Usually when I see the words "Seattle at," I take the other team unless the Seahawks are playing another hopeless NFC West squad. Oh and by the way, we're now one month away from the Giants being 6-1 as they head to New England.
San Diego (-3.5) at Denver
Nothing screams "Trap!" more than the fact that the Chargers are favored by just more than a field goal against the Broncos. We'll come back to this pick Monday morning and I'll think to myself how I got suckered in.
New York Jets at New England (-7.5)
"Can the Jets really play three bad games in a row?" going up against "The Patriots are out for blood after last year's home playoff loss."
Tampa Bay (+3) at San Francisco
Alex Smith giving three points against a competent NFL team is usually not a good idea. (I know, I know, the Bucs pass defense is awful).
Green Bay at Atlanta (+6.5)
Chicago at Detroit (-5.5)
Two things: 1.) Imagine if this Atlanta-Green Bay game was at Lambeau Field. As 6.5 point favorites on the road, this means the Packers would be 12.5 point home favorites against last year's No. 1 NFC team in Week 5. Amazing. 2.) There's a Monday night football game in Detroit!
Enjoy the games!
