November 20, 2011

NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread

Season: 70-73-4          Last Week: 7-9          This Week: 0-1

Dallas (-7.5) at Washington

Week 11 already. It goes by too fast. Despite starting off 3-1 this season, the Redskins have returned to their Redskinian ways by losing their last five in a row, and that will continue at a FedEx Field filled with Dallas fans Sunday.


Tampa Bay at Green Bay (-14)

The Bucs continue their quest to get blown out by at least five teams this year when their defense takes on Aaron Rodgers. (Although it was around this time that the '07 Patriots began to slow down).


Buffalo (+2) at Miami

Much to the chagrin of Dolphins fans, Miami has won two straight and effectively taken itself out of the Andrew Luck sweepstakes, leading many to believe it could be the first time in history a fanbase has called for its coach to be fired after winning games.


Oakland (pick) at Minnesota

I think I've picked Oakland more times this year than in the past three years combined, and despite the obvious signs of a trap game, I'll (very reluctantly) take the Raiders again.


Carolina (+7) at Detroit

Two covering machines that haven't been getting it done as the season has wore on. After both teams started 5-0 against the spread, the Lions and Panthers are just 1-3 in their last four. (Sad that it has come to looking at teams' record against the spread rather than their actual record).

Jacksonville (+1) at Cleveland

You would think that in a week with the four NFC West teams playing each other, the worst game of the week would involve those teams. But Cleveland has surpassed the NFC West in terms of general suckiness and unwatchableness this season.

Cincinnati (+7) at Baltimore

One week after leading a game-winning late drive at Pittsburgh, Joe Flacco reminds you that one of the rules in the NFL is never to trust him, and he proved that point last week in Seattle.

Arizona at San Francisco (-9.5)
Seattle at St. Louis (-2.5)

NFC West: Tyler, you've been taking a lot of shots at our division this year, did you see what we did last week?
Tyler: (Looks down)
NFC West: All four of our teams won on Sunday. You hear me? All four teams!!
Tyler: (Searching for joke about the division).

San Diego at Chicago (-3.5)

San Diego heading to Soldier Field without its offensive line and a soft defense is usually not a good idea. The only thing stopping this cover is a classic Jay Cutler interception-returned-for-touchdown game.

Tennessee (+6) at Atlanta

One of the toughest teams to figure out this year is Tennessee, which is why I'll opt not to spend this 75-word blurb trying to figure them out.

Philadelphia (+6) at New York Giants

After last season's game, the Giants would want nothing more than to drive a stake through the heart of the 2011 Philadelphia Eagles. But the Giants haven't covered these types of spreads all year, and the Eagles should get up for this one game.

Kansas City at New England (-14.5)

Two words: Tyler Palko. Some more words: Another Monday night, another uninteresting game.

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