November 5, 2011

NFL Week 9 Picks Against the Spread

Season: 56-56-4          Last Week: 3-10

All lines courtesy of the New York Post

Atlanta (-7) at Indianapolis

After a strong start to the season, my poor past couple of weeks picking games has completely rattled me, rendering me as confused as Curtis Painter in the pocket. Zing! Getting back on track starts with going against the Colts, who are slowly becoming my favorite team to pick against in 2011.

Washington at San Francisco (-3.5)

The Redskins playing a 6-1 team and getting only 3.5 after having just been shut out 23-0 against one of the league's worst defenses? That's not fishy at all! But a trap game needs two components, with one of those being an actual competent NFL team, which the Redskins are not.

Miami at Kansas City (-4)

Trap game, Part II. But with Indianapolis almost certainly losing to Atlanta, the Dolphins can't fool around here. They need to be down by at least 10 heading into the fourth.

New York Jets (+2) at Buffalo

My continued resistance to picking the Bills is justified this week as the Jets begin an important three-game stretch (@ BUF, vs. NE, @ DEN) with a win in Buffalo. Either a victory, or a loss by two points or less.

Cleveland at Houston (-10.5)

Despite Houston's best efforts earlier this year to stay on track for an 8-8 season, the schedule (and the general suckiness of their division) has set up perfectly for the Texans. Now, in comes one of the more boring teams in recent NFL history.

Seattle at Dallas (-11.5)

Cowboys Ring of Honor Ceremony. Dallas just got blown out on national television. Seattle suffered a bad home loss to Cincy. As Cousin Sal from Jimmy Kimmel Live! says: There is no better time for a classically bad Seahawkian performance!

Tampa Bay (+8) at New Orleans

This is what I like to call a "game I'd like to spend my Sunday watching instead of sitting in the student newspaper office and reading about how our swimming and diving team did this weekend" game.

St. Louis (+3) at Arizona

I like the Rams. (As I try to adopt a new goal of typing as little as possible when it comes to two NFC West teams squaring off).

New York Giants (+9) at New England

I think this will play out similar to the Cowboys-Patriots game from earlier this season. Now that that's over, I'm off to see more replays of the Tyree catch!

Green Bay (-5.5) at San Diego

The way this season is going for Norv Turner, it looks like we're (finally) headed for the end of one of the great American employment stories of all-time. The cycle of continuously underachieving, but then still managing to be brought back, ends the week after San Diego's season.

Denver at Oakland (-7)

Unless Carson Palmer provides most of the Denver offense (which is very possible), the Raiders should be able to cover this touchdown at home.

Cincinnati at Tennessee (-3)

The 5-2 Bengals with a chance to take a share of the AFC North lead heading into Week 10 with a victory here: Who would've known!?!

Baltimore at Pittsburgh (-3)

That sound you heard was NBC executives breathing a sigh of relief for this always close game coming after Dallas-Philadelphia (34-7), Indianapolis-New Orleans (62-7) and Minnesota-Chicago (39-10).

Chicago (+7.5) at Philadelphia

The backdoor cover the Bears didn't get earlier this year on Monday night against Detroit prepared them on how to properly execute the backdoor cover for this game, as Chicago scores a "meaningless" touchdown late. Follow TylerTomea on Twitter